Água Santa vs Madureira Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Água Santa Madureira

Água Santa W D D W L W

Madureira D L W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Madureira	Água Santa	3 - 1	April 11, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Pouso Alegre	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Portuguesa	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Portuguesa	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Pouso Alegre	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	América RJ	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Portuguesa	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Portuguesa	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	América RJ	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
20	Água Santa	8	4	2	2	12	6	+6	14
73	Madureira	8	2	2	4	9	12	-3	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.64% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Água Santa has a 38.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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