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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 27, 2026 2 days, 4 hours ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Água Santa Velo Clube
Água Santa D L W W D D
Velo Clube D W L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Velo Clube Água Santa 0 - 0 June 20, 2026

Água Santa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Velo Clube 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away América RJ 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Madureira 4 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Home Pouso Alegre 2 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Portuguesa 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Portuguesa RJ 2 - 2 Draw

Velo Clube Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Água Santa 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home CFRJ / Maricá 3 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Noroeste 3 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Nova Iguaçu 1 - 1 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
22 Água Santa 11 5 3 3 16 8 +8 18
52 Velo Clube 11 3 5 3 10 10 0 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Água Santa will score 0 goals, and Velo Clube will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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