Águia de Marabá vs ABC Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Águia de Marabá ABC

Águia de Marabá W L L W W L

ABC D W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Parnahyba	2 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Parnahyba	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Trem	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Tocantinópolis	3 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Imperatriz	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Tuna Luso	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Altos	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Altos	0 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Maguary PE	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Laguna	0 - 2	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Vitoria	3 - 4	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	America-RN	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	ABC	11	8	2	1	16	6	+10	26
14	Águia de Marabá	12	6	3	3	23	13	+10	21

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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