Águia de Marabá vs Parnahyba Saturday 27th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Águia de Marabá Parnahyba

Águia de Marabá L L W W L W

Parnahyba W W D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Parnahyba	Águia de Marabá	2 - 1	June 21, 2026

Águia de Marabá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Parnahyba	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Trem	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Tocantinópolis	3 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Imperatriz	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Tuna Luso	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Oratório	5 - 1	Win

Parnahyba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Águia de Marabá	2 - 1	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Moto Club	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Iguatu	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Maracanã	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Sampaio Correa	4 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	IAPE	1 - 2	Win

Serie D Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
21	Águia de Marabá	11	5	3	3	21	13	+8	18
33	Parnahyba	11	5	2	4	13	14	-1	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.08% likelihood that both Águia de Marabá and Parnahyba will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Águia de Marabá to win

This prediction indicates that Águia de Marabá has a 47.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.28 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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