Águia de Marabá vs Tocantinópolis Sunday 31st May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Águia de Marabá Tocantinópolis

Águia de Marabá W L W W W D

Tocantinópolis L W W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tocantinópolis	Águia de Marabá	2 - 2	April 11, 2026
Águia de Marabá	Tocantinópolis	0 - 0	June 12, 2024
Tocantinópolis	Águia de Marabá	3 - 0	June 9, 2024
Tocantinópolis	Águia de Marabá	0 - 2	July 17, 2016
Águia de Marabá	Tocantinópolis	1 - 0	June 12, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Imperatriz	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Tuna Luso	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Oratório	5 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Oratório	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Tuna Luso	2 - 0	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Imperatriz	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Trem	4 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Imperatriz	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Tuna Luso	2 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Tuna Luso	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Imperatriz	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Away	Oratório	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Águia de Marabá	8	4	3	1	17	8	+9	15
71	Tocantinópolis	8	2	3	3	10	14	-4	9

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Águia de Marabá has a 59.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.92 %

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