Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau Friday 24th July 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Étoile Carouge FC Aarau

Étoile Carouge L L L D L L

FC Aarau L L D D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Aarau	Étoile Carouge	1 - 3	April 7, 2026
Étoile Carouge	FC Aarau	0 - 3	March 6, 2026
FC Aarau	Étoile Carouge	2 - 1	December 12, 2025
Étoile Carouge	FC Aarau	1 - 3	September 26, 2025
Étoile Carouge	FC Aarau	1 - 3	May 16, 2025
FC Aarau	Étoile Carouge	2 - 2	March 28, 2025

Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Lausanne	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Grand-Saconnex	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	FC Sion	7 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Bellinzona	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Neuchatel Xamax FC	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Loss

FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Austria Lustenau	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	St. Gallen II	1 - 3	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Grasshoppers	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Win

Challenge League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	FC Aarau	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Étoile Carouge	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.5% likelihood that both Étoile Carouge and FC Aarau will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Aarau to win

This prediction indicates that FC Aarau has a 61.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.96 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply