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Challenge League

Aug. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Étoile Carouge Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge L W L L L D
Neuchatel Xamax FC W L L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Neuchatel Xamax FC Étoile Carouge 3 - 0 May 11, 2026
Étoile Carouge Neuchatel Xamax FC 1 - 3 February 13, 2026
Étoile Carouge Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 - 2 October 17, 2025
Neuchatel Xamax FC Étoile Carouge 2 - 1 August 22, 2025
Neuchatel Xamax FC Étoile Carouge 1 - 2 May 9, 2025
Étoile Carouge Neuchatel Xamax FC 2 - 1 February 7, 2025

Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away BSC Young Boys 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Servette FC 1 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Lausanne 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 1, 26 Home Grand-Saconnex 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away FC Sion 7 - 0 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Bellinzona 2 - 2 Draw

Neuchatel Xamax FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Away Lausanne 1 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away FC Thun 6 - 2 Loss
Jul 1, 26 Home FC Sion 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away FC Lugano 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Away Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 1 Loss
May 11, 26 Home Étoile Carouge 3 - 0 Win

Challenge League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Neuchatel Xamax FC None None None None None None None None
None Étoile Carouge None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.72% likelihood that both Étoile Carouge and Neuchatel Xamax FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Étoile Carouge or Neuchatel Xamax FC to win
This prediction indicates that Étoile Carouge has a 43.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.18 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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