Ümraniyespor vs Muğlaspor Tuesday 01st September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

1. Lig

Sept. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Ümraniyespor Muğlaspor

Ümraniyespor L D L L W L

Muğlaspor D L D D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Fatih Karagümrük	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Mardin BB	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Galatasaray	1 - 5	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Keçiörengücü	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Adana Demirspor	1 - 3	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Van BB	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Home	Bandırmaspor	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Sarıyer	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Elazığspor	0 - 0	Draw
May 4, 26	Home	Şanlıurfaspor	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 30, 26	Away	Şanlıurfaspor	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Kastamonuspor 1966	0 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Ümraniyespor	2	0	1	1	1	2	-1	1
15	Muğlaspor	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Muğlaspor has a 36.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.03 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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