Şanlıurfaspor vs Belediye Derincespor Monday 05th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

2. Lig

Oct. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Şanlıurfaspor Belediye Derincespor

Şanlıurfaspor D D W D L W

Belediye Derincespor D W W D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Adana Demirspor	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Sebat Gençlikspor	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Osmanlispor	1 - 0	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Muğlaspor	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 30, 26	Home	Muğlaspor	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Osmanlispor	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Isparta 32 Spor	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	1 - 0	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Hatayspor	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ankara Demirspor	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	Mardin BB	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	Fethiyespor	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Belediye Derincespor	2	2	0	0	3	0	+3	6
8	Şanlıurfaspor	3	1	2	0	5	4	+1	5

This prediction indicates that Şanlıurfaspor has a 46.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.70 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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