Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris Sunday 20th September 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

A Lyga

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Šiauliai Kauno Žalgiris

Šiauliai L L W L L L

Kauno Žalgiris D W L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kauno Žalgiris	Šiauliai	4 - 0	July 18, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris	Šiauliai	0 - 0	May 16, 2026
Šiauliai	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 5	March 15, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris	Šiauliai	3 - 1	October 17, 2025
Šiauliai	Kauno Žalgiris	2 - 2	August 20, 2025
Kauno Žalgiris	Šiauliai	3 - 0	May 23, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Away	TransINVEST Vilnius	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 17, 26	Home	Panevėžys	1 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Džiugas Telšiai	3 - 4	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	Banga	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	Banga	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 27, 26	Home	Besiktas	1 - 0	Win
Aug 20, 26	Away	Besiktas	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 11, 26	Home	Dinamo Zagreb	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Kauno Žalgiris	25	12	9	4	47	17	+30	45
9	Šiauliai	28	4	8	16	27	56	-29	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 64.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.07 %

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