Liga Pro Serie B
Match Analysis
22 de Julio
El Nacional
22 de Julio
L
L
L
L
L
L
El Nacional
L
W
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 22 de Julio | 3 - 0 | September 12, 2026 |
| 22 de Julio | El Nacional | 1 - 3 | July 31, 2026 |
| El Nacional | 22 de Julio | 1 - 1 | May 9, 2026 |
22 de Julio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Cumbayá | 1 - 7 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | El Nacional | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Gualaceo SC | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Santo Domingo | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | LDU Portoviejo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 0 - 1 | Loss |
El Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Santo Domingo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | 22 de Julio | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | LDU Portoviejo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Gualaceo SC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Ind. Juniors | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Liga Pro Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | El Nacional | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 15 |
| 12 | 22 de Julio | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 44 | -33 | 15 |
Predictions
El Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that El Nacional has a 52.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.00 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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