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1. Division logo

1. Division

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Aalborg HB Koge
Aalborg L D L D D W
HB Koge L W D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
HB Koge Aalborg 1 - 1 April 26, 2026
Aalborg HB Koge 2 - 1 October 2, 2025
HB Koge Aalborg 0 - 2 August 10, 2025
HB Koge Aalborg 1 - 2 December 3, 2023
Aalborg HB Koge 2 - 0 September 22, 2023
HB Koge Aalborg 0 - 3 November 27, 2019

Aalborg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 22, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 5 - 0 Loss
May 15, 26 Away B 93 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home Middelfart 1 - 3 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Hobro 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away HB Koge 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 23, 26 Home B 93 3 - 2 Win

HB Koge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Hobro 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Middelfart 0 - 4 Win
May 9, 26 Away Aarhus Fremad 0 - 0 Draw
May 1, 26 Home B 93 3 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Aalborg 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 22, 26 Away Hobro 1 - 2 Win

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Aalborg 31 11 10 10 49 47 +2 43
8 HB Koge 31 11 7 13 42 47 -5 40

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.1% likelihood that both Aalborg and HB Koge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Correct Score 2 - 2
This prediction indicates that Aalborg will score 2 goals, and HB Koge will score 2 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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