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Eliteserien

Aug. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Aalesund Tromso
Aalesund L D W D D W
Tromso W W W D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tromso Aalesund 1 - 1 May 25, 2026
Aalesund Tromso 1 - 0 March 8, 2025
Tromso Aalesund 1 - 2 October 8, 2023
Aalesund Tromso 2 - 3 June 11, 2023
Tromso Aalesund 2 - 2 November 13, 2022
Aalesund Tromso 2 - 2 April 18, 2022

Aalesund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 16, 26 Away Valerenga 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Molde 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Kristiansund BK 0 - 3 Win
May 29, 26 Home Ham-Kam 2 - 2 Draw
May 25, 26 Away Tromso 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Brann 2 - 1 Win

Tromso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away Ham-Kam 1 - 4 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Valerenga 4 - 0 Win
Jun 25, 26 Home Orgryte IS 4 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away KFUM Oslo 0 - 0 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Aalesund 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Bodo/Glimt 5 - 0 Loss

Eliteserien Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Tromso 14 8 4 2 22 14 +8 28
14 Aalesund 13 2 6 5 18 28 -10 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.86% likelihood that both Aalesund and Tromso will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Tromso to win
This prediction indicates that Tromso has a 54.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.48 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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