ABC vs Luverdense Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

ABC Luverdense

ABC W L D W W W

Luverdense D W D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
ABC	Luverdense	0 - 1	November 3, 2017
Luverdense	ABC	1 - 0	July 16, 2017
Luverdense	ABC	1 - 1	September 1, 2015
ABC	Luverdense	1 - 1	May 24, 2015
ABC	Luverdense	0 - 1	October 19, 2014
Luverdense	ABC	3 - 1	July 16, 2014

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Águia de Marabá	3 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Águia de Marabá	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Altos	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Altos	0 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Maguary PE	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Laguna	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	Guaporé	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Guaporé	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Ceilândia	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ceilândia	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Inhumas	4 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	ABC	14	9	3	2	21	9	+12	30
19	Luverdense	14	6	5	3	15	12	+3	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ABC has a 52.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.30 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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