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Serie D logo

Serie D

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

ABECAT Ouvidorense Ipatinga
ABECAT Ouvidorense W L D D L D
Ipatinga W D D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ipatinga ABECAT Ouvidorense 1 - 0 April 11, 2026

ABECAT Ouvidorense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Operario Ferroviario 2 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away CRAC 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Ivinhema 0 - 0 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Ivinhema 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home CRAC 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Operario Ferroviario 1 - 1 Draw

Ipatinga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Ivinhema 3 - 0 Win
May 18, 26 Away Uberlandia 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home CRAC 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away CRAC 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Uberlandia 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Ivinhema 1 - 3 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
36 Ipatinga 8 3 3 2 9 6 +3 12
83 ABECAT Ouvidorense 8 1 3 4 5 8 -3 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that ABECAT Ouvidorense will score 0 goals, and Ipatinga will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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