Serie A
Match Analysis
AC Milan
Lecce
AC Milan
W
W
W
L
D
D
Lecce
L
W
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | Lecce | 1 - 0 | January 18, 2026 |
| AC Milan | Lecce | 3 - 0 | September 23, 2025 |
| Lecce | AC Milan | 0 - 2 | August 29, 2025 |
| Lecce | AC Milan | 2 - 3 | March 8, 2025 |
| AC Milan | Lecce | 3 - 0 | September 27, 2024 |
| AC Milan | Lecce | 3 - 0 | April 6, 2024 |
AC Milan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Venezia | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Torino | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Inter | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Celtic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Lecce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | AS Roma | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Bistrica | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Istra 1961 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.AC Milan to win
This prediction indicates that AC Milan has a 71.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.79 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments