Accrington ST vs Colchester Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Accrington ST Colchester

Accrington ST W W W D L D

Colchester L D L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Colchester	Accrington ST	2 - 1	April 14, 2026
Accrington ST	Colchester	1 - 0	September 13, 2025
Colchester	Accrington ST	0 - 2	January 4, 2025
Accrington ST	Colchester	1 - 1	August 31, 2024
Colchester	Accrington ST	1 - 1	February 17, 2024
Accrington ST	Colchester	0 - 1	October 28, 2023

Accrington ST Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Bury	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Chorley	0 - 3	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Bradford	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Blackburn	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Oldham	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Crawley Town	3 - 3	Draw

Colchester Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Charlton	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	West Ham United U21	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Home	Peterborough	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Harlow Town	0 - 5	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	Heybridge Swifts	0 - 4	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Norwich	0 - 0	Draw

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Colchester	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Accrington ST	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Colchester to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Colchester has a 36.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.21 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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