AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

AEK Larnaca Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca L W W D D W

Beitar Jerusalem D D D D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Beitar Jerusalem	AEK Larnaca	0 - 0	July 22, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	PAOK	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Helmond Sport	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Aris	3 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Omonia Nicosia	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Apollon Limassol	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hapoel Tel Aviv	1 - 1	Draw
May 19, 26	Away	Hapoel Petah Tikva	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 - 2	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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