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Ettan - Norra logo

Ettan - Norra

June 4, 2026 3 weeks, 4 days ago
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

AFC Eskilstuna Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna W L D W L L
Karlberg D L L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Karlberg AFC Eskilstuna 4 - 2 September 20, 2025
AFC Eskilstuna Karlberg 0 - 2 May 29, 2025
Karlberg AFC Eskilstuna 0 - 1 October 20, 2024
AFC Eskilstuna Karlberg 1 - 1 June 9, 2024

AFC Eskilstuna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Hammarby Talang 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Vasalund 0 - 3 Loss
May 18, 26 Home Arlanda 0 - 0 Draw
May 13, 26 Away Stockholm Internazionale 0 - 2 Win
May 8, 26 Away Enköping 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Home FBK Karlstad 0 - 2 Loss

Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home FBK Karlstad 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Stockholm Internazionale 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Järfälla 1 - 3 Loss
May 13, 26 Away Arlanda 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home IF Karlstad 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Umeå FC 2 - 1 Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Karlberg 10 3 3 4 14 17 -3 12
14 AFC Eskilstuna 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.05% likelihood that both AFC Eskilstuna and Karlberg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Karlberg to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Karlberg has a 35.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.56 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 77.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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