National League
Match Analysis
AFC Fylde
Carlisle
AFC Fylde
W
D
W
W
L
W
Carlisle
D
L
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | Carlisle | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2025 |
AFC Fylde Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Yeovil Town | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Worthing | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Solihull Moors | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Forest Green | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Woking | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | Win |
Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Southend | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Boreham Wood | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Scunthorpe | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | AFC Hornchurch | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Yeovil Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
National League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.83% likelihood that both AFC Fylde and Carlisle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.AFC Fylde to win
This prediction indicates that AFC Fylde has a 44.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.24 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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