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FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Peterborough Sports
AFC Rushden & Diamonds L D L L D D
Peterborough Sports W L D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Home Banbury United 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Milton Keynes Irish 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 2, 25 Home Grimsby Borough 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 17, 24 Away Newark Flowserve 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 24 Home Corby Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 3, 24 Away Corby Town 1 - 1 Draw

Peterborough Sports Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Ipswich Wanderers 4 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Peterborough 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Hereford 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Worksop Town 8 - 0 Loss
Apr 11, 26 Home AFC Telford United 2 - 3 Loss
Apr 6, 26 Away Oxford City 2 - 0 Loss

Predictions

AFC Rushden & Diamonds to win
This prediction indicates that AFC Rushden & Diamonds has a 44.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.52 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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