National League - North logo

National League - North

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

AFC Telford United Oxford City
AFC Telford United D D L L L W
Oxford City W D W W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Oxford City AFC Telford United 0 - 0 February 24, 2026
AFC Telford United Oxford City 4 - 0 November 25, 2025

AFC Telford United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Hednesford Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 18, 26 Away Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Worksop Town 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Brackley Town 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Tamworth 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Walsall 1 - 0 Win

Oxford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Spennymoor Town 1 - 4 Win
Aug 18, 26 Home Harborough Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Spalding United 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Bedford Town 1 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Slough Town 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 1 - 2 Loss

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Oxford City 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
20 AFC Telford United 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.18% likelihood that both AFC Telford United and Oxford City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
AFC Telford United or Oxford City to win
This prediction indicates that Oxford City has a 40.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.04 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]