Aktobe vs Zhetysu Sunday 05th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Aktobe Zhetysu

Aktobe L W W D D D

Zhetysu W D D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Zhetysu	Aktobe	1 - 0	June 27, 2026
Aktobe	Zhetysu	3 - 2	August 24, 2025
Zhetysu	Aktobe	2 - 1	May 25, 2025
Aktobe	Zhetysu	3 - 0	September 15, 2024
Zhetysu	Aktobe	2 - 1	April 28, 2024
Aktobe	Zhetysu	2 - 2	October 29, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Zhetysu	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	FC Astana	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Altay	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Atyrau	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Aktobe	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Altay	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	2 - 2	Draw
May 28, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	3 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Atyrau	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Ordabasy	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Aktobe	15	6	4	5	18	14	+4	22
8	Zhetysu	15	4	6	5	20	22	-2	18

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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