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Iraqi League

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Al-Jolan SC Newroz
Al-Jolan SC L W D
Newroz L L D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Al-Jolan SC Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Al Shorta 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Home Al Karkh 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Naft Maysan 0 - 0 Draw

Newroz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away Al Talaba 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Gharraf 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Naft 2 - 1 Loss
May 27, 26 Home Mosul 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Zakho 2 - 1 Win

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Al-Jolan SC 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
18 Newroz 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Al-Jolan SC will score 0 goals, and Newroz will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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