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Friendlies Clubs

July 30, 2026 3 days, 8 hours ago
3 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Al Shabab Al Ahli Doha
Al Shabab W L W L L L
Al Ahli Doha L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Al Shabab are slight favourites to win, underpinned by a modest quality advantage and better recent form, though Al Ahli Doha's extra rest gives them a fighting chance. Both teams are predicted to score, largely because Al Ahli Doha have shown defensive struggles recently, even though they're arriving fresher than their opponents. The model leans toward a higher-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals favoured; this reflects Al Shabab's quality edge combining with Al Ahli Doha's defensive vulnerabilities, outweighing the typical caution that might apply in a friendly.

Al Shabab Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Home Al Nasr 1 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Al Najma 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 2 Win
May 11, 26 Away NEOM 2 - 1 Loss
May 7, 26 Home Al-Nassr 2 - 4 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Al Taawon 1 - 5 Loss

Al Ahli Doha Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 23 Home Sharjah FC 0 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.92% likelihood that both Al Shabab and Al Ahli Doha will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Al Shabab to win
This prediction indicates that Al Shabab has a 51.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.43 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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