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Friendlies Clubs

Aug. 3, 2026 2 days, 10 hours ago
3 – 1
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Match Analysis

Al Shabab MC Alger
Al Shabab W W L W L L
MC Alger W D L W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees MC Alger as the stronger side due to their clear quality gap over Al Shabab, despite Al Shabab creating more shooting chances recently. However, the model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, suggesting that while MC Alger are favored, the match is close enough that Al Shabab's recent form and chance creation could tip it in their favor. The model also leans toward fewer goals overall and does not expect both teams to score, indicating a tighter, potentially lower-scoring contest. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' qualities and recent performances.

Al Shabab Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 30, 26 Home Al Ahli Doha 3 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Al Nasr 1 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Al Najma 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 2 Win
May 11, 26 Away NEOM 2 - 1 Loss
May 7, 26 Home Al-Nassr 2 - 4 Loss

MC Alger Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0 - 2 Win
Jul 27, 26 Away Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 1 Draw
Feb 14, 26 Away Mamelodi Sundowns 2 - 0 Loss
Feb 6, 26 Home Al Hilal Omdurman 2 - 1 Win
Feb 1, 26 Home Saint Eloi Lupopo 2 - 0 Win
Jan 25, 26 Away Saint Eloi Lupopo 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Al Shabab or MC Alger to win
This prediction indicates that Al Shabab has a 39.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.39 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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