Al Shorta vs Ghaz Al Shamal Friday 11th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Al Shorta Ghaz Al Shamal

Al Shorta W L D D W L

Ghaz Al Shamal D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 25, 26	Away	Al-Jolan SC	0 - 1	Win
Aug 21, 26	Away	Al-Karma	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Karbala	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 2, 26	Home	Al Minaa Basra	0 - 0	Draw
May 28, 26	Away	Al Karkh	0 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Erbil	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 25, 26	Away	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 20, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Zakho	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Al Shorta	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4
15	Ghaz Al Shamal	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Al Shorta has a 65.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.88 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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