Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf Thursday 17th September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Al Zawra'a Gharraf

Al Zawra'a W W D D L L

Gharraf L L W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gharraf	Al Zawra'a	0 - 1	March 17, 2026
Al Zawra'a	Gharraf	0 - 0	January 5, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Zakho	4 - 0	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Naft Maysan	4 - 0	Win
Aug 21, 26	Away	Karbala	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Al Minaa Basra	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Away	Al Najaf	1 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Naft	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Ghaz Al Shamal	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Away	Al Minaa Basra	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Newroz	1 - 0	Win
Aug 16, 26	Away	Duhok	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 2, 26	Home	Naft Maysan	0 - 2	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Baghdad	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Al Zawra'a	4	2	2	0	9	1	+8	8
14	Gharraf	4	1	1	2	2	5	-3	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 62.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Al Zawra'a has a 67.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.58 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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