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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

July 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Albion FC Danubio
Albion FC D W L L D W
Danubio D D D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Danubio Albion FC 0 - 1 May 9, 2026
Danubio Albion FC 3 - 0 October 16, 2022
Albion FC Danubio 1 - 2 May 27, 2022
Albion FC Danubio 2 - 1 October 31, 2021
Danubio Albion FC 0 - 2 July 22, 2021

Albion FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Away Progreso 1 - 2 Win
May 31, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Club Nacional 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Wanderers 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Danubio 0 - 1 Win

Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Home Club Nacional 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home Juventud 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Wanderers 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Progreso 1 - 2 Loss
May 18, 26 Away Deportivo Maldonado 3 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Albion FC 0 - 1 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Albion FC 20 9 6 5 30 21 +9 33
13 Danubio 19 4 8 7 20 27 -7 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Albion FC to win
This prediction indicates that Albion FC has a 47.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.04 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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