Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Albion FC
Danubio
Albion FC
L
D
W
L
L
D
Danubio
L
D
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Albion FC edges this matchup as favorites at 48% for a home win, helped by a notable rest advantage and their dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, though the two sides are closely matched in overall quality and both are in poor form. The prediction leans toward a low-scoring outcome, with under 2.5 goals favored at 59% combined probability, reflecting the poor form both teams are showing despite Albion's recent attacking strength. The model gives a slight edge against both teams scoring (54% no), suggesting the matchup may be cagey given the poor recent form on both sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | Albion FC | 0 - 1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Danubio | Albion FC | 3 - 0 | October 16, 2022 |
| Albion FC | Danubio | 1 - 2 | May 27, 2022 |
| Albion FC | Danubio | 2 - 1 | October 31, 2021 |
| Danubio | Albion FC | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2021 |
Albion FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Juventud | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Progreso | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Wanderers | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Club Nacional | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Juventud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Progreso | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Albion FC | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 33 |
| 14 | Danubio | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Albion FC to win
This prediction indicates that Albion FC has a 47.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.60 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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