Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Albion FC
Progreso
Albion FC
L
L
L
D
L
D
Progreso
L
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | Albion FC | 1 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| Progreso | Albion FC | 2 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| Progreso | Albion FC | 3 - 2 | November 29, 2023 |
| Albion FC | Progreso | 3 - 0 | July 22, 2023 |
| Progreso | Albion FC | 1 - 0 | April 22, 2023 |
Albion FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Boston River | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Cerro | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Danubio | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Juventud | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Progreso Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maldonado | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Wanderers | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Albion FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 34 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 16 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Albion FC to win
This prediction indicates that Albion FC has a 56.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.73 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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