Serie C - Girone A
Match Analysis
Alcione
Renate
Alcione
L
L
D
W
D
L
Renate
W
L
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | Alcione | 1 - 0 | February 2, 2026 |
| Alcione | Renate | 1 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| Renate | Alcione | 0 - 1 | January 11, 2025 |
| Alcione | Renate | 0 - 1 | September 7, 2024 |
Alcione Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Mantova | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Torino | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Lumezzane | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Albinoleffe | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Virtus Verona | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 10, 26 | Home | Lecco | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Renate Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Città di Varese | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Casarano | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Casarano | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Pro Patria | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Trento | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Apr 13, 26 | Home | PRO Vercelli | 2 - 1 | Win |
Serie C - Girone A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Renate | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Alcione | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Renate to win
This prediction indicates that Renate has a 42.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.65 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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