Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Alcorcon Gimnastic
Alcorcon D L L D W D
Gimnastic D W L D D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Alcorcon Gimnastic 1 - 1 February 1, 2026
Gimnastic Alcorcon 1 - 2 October 12, 2025
Alcorcon Gimnastic 0 - 1 June 1, 2019
Gimnastic Alcorcon 1 - 3 October 15, 2018
Alcorcon Gimnastic 1 - 0 March 25, 2018
Gimnastic Alcorcon 0 - 3 October 22, 2017

Alcorcon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Águilas 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 18, 26 Away Unionistas de Salamanca 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Mérida AD 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 12, 26 Home Rayo Majadahonda 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Getafe II 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Sevilla Atletico 1 - 1 Draw

Gimnastic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away FC Cartagena 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Home Zaragoza 2 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Espanyol II 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home Huesca 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Girona 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Olot 1 - 1 Draw

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
8 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Alcorcon to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Alcorcon has a 38.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.30 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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