Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Algeria
Zambia
Algeria
L
D
W
L
W
W
Zambia
L
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | Algeria | 3 - 3 | March 25, 2021 |
| Algeria | Zambia | 5 - 0 | November 14, 2019 |
| Algeria | Zambia | 0 - 1 | September 5, 2017 |
| Zambia | Algeria | 3 - 1 | September 2, 2017 |
Algeria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Switzerland | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Austria | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Jordan | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Argentina | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 11, 26 | Away | Bolivia | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Netherlands | 0 - 1 | Win |
Zambia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Argentina | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Dec 29, 25 | Home | Morocco | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Dec 26, 25 | Home | Comoros | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Dec 22, 25 | Away | Mali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Dec 16, 25 | Away | Congo DR | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Nov 18, 25 | Away | Angola | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Algeria to win
This prediction indicates that Algeria has a 63.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.73 %Most Likely Scorelines
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