Primera División
Match Analysis
Alianza Atletico
UTC
Alianza Atletico
D
W
L
W
L
L
UTC
L
D
L
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 1 | March 22, 2026 |
| Alianza Atletico | UTC | 2 - 0 | August 11, 2025 |
| UTC | Alianza Atletico | 0 - 0 | March 8, 2025 |
| UTC | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 1 | August 1, 2024 |
| Alianza Atletico | UTC | 2 - 0 | February 16, 2024 |
| UTC | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 1 | July 14, 2023 |
Alianza Atletico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | ADT | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Cienciano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Alianza Lima | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Cultural Santa Rosa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Cusco | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | FBC Melgar | 3 - 1 | Loss |
UTC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Alianza Lima | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | ADT | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cusco | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | UCV Moquegua | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Atletico Grau | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Cultural Santa Rosa | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 20 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Alianza Atletico to win
This prediction indicates that Alianza Atletico has a 48.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.56 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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