Alianza Lima vs UTC Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alianza Lima UTC

Alianza Lima D W L D W W

UTC D L D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
UTC	Alianza Lima	0 - 1	February 28, 2026
Alianza Lima	UTC	3 - 0	November 23, 2025
UTC	Alianza Lima	0 - 0	July 12, 2025
UTC	Alianza Lima	0 - 1	October 18, 2024
Alianza Lima	UTC	1 - 0	May 4, 2024
Alianza Lima	UTC	1 - 0	August 6, 2023

Alianza Lima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Comerciantes Unidos	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Home	Sport Huancayo	2 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	Deportivo Cali	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	FC Cajamarca	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Cultural Santa Rosa	3 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Cienciano	0 - 1	Win

UTC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	UCV Moquegua	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Atletico Grau	3 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Cultural Santa Rosa	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Sport Boys	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Deportivo Garcilaso	2 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	FC Cajamarca	1 - 2	Loss

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	19	13	5	1	34	11	+23	44
16	UTC	19	4	7	8	22	29	-7	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Alianza Lima to win

This prediction indicates that Alianza Lima has a 72.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.86 %

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed