Alianza Petrolera vs Deportes Tolima Sunday 02nd August 2026 12:05 AM football predictions.

Alianza Petrolera Deportes Tolima

Alianza Petrolera L L W D D D

Deportes Tolima D L L L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportes Tolima	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 0	January 24, 2026
Alianza Petrolera	Deportes Tolima	0 - 1	July 22, 2025
Deportes Tolima	Alianza Petrolera	3 - 1	February 8, 2025
Deportes Tolima	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 0	October 20, 2024
Alianza Petrolera	Deportes Tolima	0 - 2	March 29, 2024
Alianza Petrolera	Deportes Tolima	0 - 1	October 23, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Bucaramanga	2 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Real Santander	3 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Popayan	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Millonarios	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Llaneros	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Universitario	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Atletico Nacional	3 - 1	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Coquimbo Unido	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Deportivo Pasto	0 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Deportivo Pasto	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Deportes Tolima	23	10	7	6	31	21	+10	37
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 42.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply