Primera A
Match Analysis
Alianza Petrolera
Deportivo Pereira
Alianza Petrolera
L
L
D
L
L
W
Deportivo Pereira
D
L
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | Alianza Petrolera | 2 - 3 | April 6, 2026 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 0 | July 19, 2025 |
| Deportivo Pereira | Alianza Petrolera | 0 - 0 | February 3, 2025 |
| Deportivo Pereira | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 0 | September 13, 2024 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 2 | February 12, 2024 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Deportivo Pereira | 2 - 1 | November 8, 2023 |
Alianza Petrolera Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Bucaramanga | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Real Santander | 3 - 0 | Win |
Deportivo Pereira Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 26, 26 | Home | Jaguares | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Real Soacha | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 7, 26 | Away | Ind. Yumbo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 18 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Alianza Petrolera to win
This prediction indicates that Alianza Petrolera has a 51.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.24 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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