Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Friday 14th August 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Copa Colombia

Aug. 14, 2026 1 week from now VS

Alianza Petrolera Once Caldas

Alianza Petrolera L D L L W D

Once Caldas D W W W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alianza Petrolera	Once Caldas	1 - 1	February 8, 2026
Alianza Petrolera	Once Caldas	0 - 0	August 15, 2025
Once Caldas	Alianza Petrolera	1 - 2	March 2, 2025
Alianza Petrolera	Once Caldas	1 - 0	October 6, 2024
Once Caldas	Alianza Petrolera	1 - 0	March 25, 2024
Alianza Petrolera	Once Caldas	2 - 1	September 26, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Fortaleza FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Bucaramanga	2 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Real Santander	3 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Popayan	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Away	Santa Fe	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 30, 26	Away	Envigado	0 - 3	Win
Jul 27, 26	Home	Cucuta	5 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Envigado	3 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Away	Junior	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Junior	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Once Caldas has a 38.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.99 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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