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Primera Nacional logo

Primera Nacional

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Almagro Atlanta
Almagro W D W L L W
Atlanta W W D W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Almagro Atlanta 0 - 0 August 17, 2025
Atlanta Almagro 1 - 0 April 15, 2025
Almagro Atlanta 0 - 0 September 7, 2024
Atlanta Almagro 3 - 0 April 20, 2024
Atlanta Almagro 1 - 1 May 7, 2022
Atlanta Almagro 1 - 2 November 19, 2015

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 1 - 2 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Nueva Chicago 1 - 2 Win

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Midland 1 - 2 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Agropecuario 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Atlanta 17 10 3 4 23 11 +12 33
27 Almagro 17 5 4 8 13 19 -6 19

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Atlanta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atlanta has a 41.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.57 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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