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Primera Nacional

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Almagro Deportivo Maipu
Almagro D L D L D W
Deportivo Maipu W W L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Maipu Almagro 1 - 0 April 26, 2026
Almagro Deportivo Maipu 0 - 1 July 5, 2025
Deportivo Maipu Almagro 3 - 1 March 2, 2025
Almagro Deportivo Maipu 1 - 0 September 18, 2022

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Colegiales 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Quilmes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 5, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Midland 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 27, 26 Away Atlanta 1 - 3 Win

Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Quilmes 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 1 - 2 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Midland 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Atlanta 4 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Deportivo Maipu 26 11 5 10 34 27 +7 38
23 Almagro 26 8 7 11 21 29 -8 31

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Almagro will score 0 goals, and Deportivo Maipu will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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