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Primera Nacional

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Almagro Gimnasia Y Tiro
Almagro W W D W L L
Gimnasia Y Tiro D L W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gimnasia Y Tiro Almagro 2 - 0 February 28, 2026
Gimnasia Y Tiro Almagro 1 - 0 June 29, 2025
Almagro Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 1 February 22, 2025
Almagro Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 3 October 19, 2024
Gimnasia Y Tiro Almagro 1 - 1 June 2, 2024

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Atlanta 2 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home San Martin S.J. 1 - 2 Loss

Gimnasia Y Tiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Quilmes 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Midland 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Atlanta 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 1 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
21 Almagro 18 6 4 8 15 19 -4 22
24 Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 5 6 7 16 19 -3 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Almagro will score 0 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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