Segunda División
Match Analysis
Almeria
Burgos
Almeria
W
W
L
L
W
W
Burgos
W
D
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | Almeria | 0 - 0 | May 9, 2026 |
| Almeria | Burgos | 1 - 2 | December 14, 2025 |
| Burgos | Almeria | 3 - 1 | March 21, 2025 |
| Almeria | Burgos | 2 - 0 | October 5, 2024 |
| Burgos | Almeria | 0 - 2 | April 30, 2022 |
| Almeria | Burgos | 2 - 0 | November 7, 2021 |
Almeria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Cordoba | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Cadiz | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Sabadell | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Tenerife | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Eldense | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cordoba | 0 - 4 | Win |
Burgos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | AD Ceuta FC | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Oviedo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Cordoba | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Almeria | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 8 | Burgos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Almeria to win
This prediction indicates that Almeria has a 56.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.00 %Most Likely Scorelines
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