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Segunda División logo

Segunda División

June 9, 2026 2 weeks, 6 days ago
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Almeria Castellón
Almeria D W L L D W
Castellón D W W D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Castellón Almeria 1 - 1 June 6, 2026
Castellón Almeria 2 - 0 April 2, 2026
Almeria Castellón 1 - 0 October 26, 2025
Castellón Almeria 4 - 1 April 18, 2025
Almeria Castellón 2 - 5 September 16, 2024
Almeria Castellón 3 - 1 January 30, 2021

Almeria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Castellón 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Valladolid 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Sporting Gijon 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Las Palmas 1 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Burgos 0 - 0 Draw
May 4, 26 Home Mirandes 4 - 2 Win

Castellón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Almeria 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Eibar 2 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Huesca 0 - 1 Win
May 15, 26 Home Cadiz 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away AD Ceuta FC 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Cordoba 1 - 2 Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Almeria 43 22 9 12 82 64 +18 75
5 Castellón 43 20 13 10 71 52 +19 73

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.58% likelihood that both Almeria and Castellón will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Castellón to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Castellón has a 36.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.87 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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