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Primera Nacional

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Almirante Brown CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown W W L D L D
CA Estudiantes W W D W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
CA Estudiantes Almirante Brown 0 - 1 March 1, 2026
Almirante Brown CA Estudiantes 0 - 1 June 22, 2025
CA Estudiantes Almirante Brown 5 - 2 February 15, 2025
Almirante Brown CA Estudiantes 1 - 0 March 13, 2022
CA Estudiantes Almirante Brown 1 - 2 July 24, 2021
Almirante Brown CA Estudiantes 2 - 1 March 13, 2021

Almirante Brown Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Atletico Mitre 3 - 1 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away San Miguel 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home San Telmo 0 - 0 Draw

CA Estudiantes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Ciudad de Bolívar 1 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home All Boys 2 - 1 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Los Andes 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 2 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 1 - 1 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Almirante Brown 18 7 5 6 13 12 +1 26
15 CA Estudiantes 18 7 5 6 14 15 -1 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Almirante Brown will score 0 goals, and CA Estudiantes will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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