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Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown logo Almirante Brown
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ferro Carril Oeste logo Ferro Carril Oeste

Match Analysis

Almirante Brown Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown W L W W D D
Ferro Carril Oeste W W W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ferro Carril Oeste Almirante Brown 0 - 1 April 28, 2026
Almirante Brown Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 0 November 11, 2023
Ferro Carril Oeste Almirante Brown 1 - 1 November 5, 2023
Ferro Carril Oeste Almirante Brown 1 - 0 August 16, 2022
Almirante Brown Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 1 April 5, 2014
Ferro Carril Oeste Almirante Brown 0 - 1 October 5, 2013

Almirante Brown Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Defensores De Belgrano 0 - 2 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Ciudad de Bolívar 2 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 2 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 0 - 0 Draw

Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 24, 26 Home All Boys 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Atlanta 3 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Los Andes 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Godoy Cruz 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Deportivo Moron 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Colon Santa Fe 2 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 26 16 4 6 32 23 +9 52
9 Almirante Brown 26 11 8 7 22 16 +6 41

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Almirante Brown will score 0 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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