Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Almirante Brown
San Miguel
Almirante Brown
L
D
D
W
W
L
San Miguel
D
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | Almirante Brown | 1 - 0 | May 23, 2026 |
| Almirante Brown | San Miguel | 3 - 0 | October 13, 2019 |
| Almirante Brown | San Miguel | 0 - 0 | March 2, 2019 |
| San Miguel | Almirante Brown | 0 - 0 | September 21, 2018 |
| Almirante Brown | San Miguel | 1 - 2 | March 3, 2018 |
| San Miguel | Almirante Brown | 2 - 0 | October 8, 2017 |
Almirante Brown Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Chaco For Ever | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Central Norte | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Deportivo Madryn | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Defensores De Belgrano | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Tristan Suarez | 3 - 1 | Loss |
San Miguel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | All Boys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Los Andes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Godoy Cruz | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Deportivo Moron | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Chaco For Ever | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Colon Santa Fe | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 17 | +6 | 46 |
| 31 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Almirante Brown to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Almirante Brown has a 44.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.81 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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