Altona Magic vs Melbourne City II Saturday 04th July 2026 08:15 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Altona Magic Melbourne City II

Altona Magic W L W L L W

Melbourne City II W L L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Melbourne City II	Altona Magic	1 - 1	March 22, 2026

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Bentleigh Greens	0 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	South Melbourne	2 - 3	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Hume City	1 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Preston Lions	1 - 0	Win

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 2	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Oakleigh Cannons	3 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Dandenong City	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Dandenong Thunder	2 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Green Gully	1 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Bentleigh Greens	0 - 7	Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Melbourne City II	17	6	5	6	25	27	-2	23
12	Altona Magic	18	5	4	9	21	32	-11	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that both Altona Magic and Melbourne City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Melbourne City II to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Melbourne City II has a 37.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.83 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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