Aluminij vs Celje Saturday 25th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Aluminij Celje

Aluminij D L L D D L

Celje W D L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Celje	Aluminij	5 - 0	April 26, 2026
Aluminij	Celje	2 - 1	March 5, 2026
Celje	Aluminij	2 - 1	November 1, 2025
Aluminij	Celje	2 - 3	August 17, 2025
Celje	Aluminij	2 - 2	March 30, 2024
Celje	Aluminij	4 - 1	February 4, 2024

Aluminij Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 26	Away	Sheriff Tiraspol	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 2, 26	Home	FK Partizan	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	FC Noah	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Pyunik Yerevan	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Rače	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Maribor	3 - 0	Loss

Celje Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	MTK Budapest	4 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Cukaricki	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Home	HNK Hajduk Split	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Shkendija	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Primorje	0 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Koper	1 - 2	Loss

1. SNL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Celje	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Aluminij	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.91% likelihood that both Aluminij and Celje will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Celje to win

This prediction indicates that Celje has a 72.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.04 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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