Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol Thursday 16th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Aluminij Sheriff Tiraspol

Aluminij L L D D L D

Sheriff Tiraspol D L L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 2, 26	Home	FK Partizan	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	FC Noah	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Pyunik Yerevan	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Rače	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Maribor	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Primorje	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 25	Home	Anderlecht	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 7, 25	Away	Anderlecht	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 25	Away	Utrecht	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 24, 25	Home	Utrecht	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 17, 25	Away	Prishtina	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 25	Home	Prishtina	4 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Sheriff Tiraspol	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Aluminij	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Aluminij has a 38.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.97 %

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