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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

América RJ Água Santa
América RJ D L W L D W
Água Santa W W D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Água Santa América RJ 4 - 0 April 4, 2026

América RJ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Portuguesa RJ 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Portuguesa 4 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Madureira 3 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Pouso Alegre 3 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Pouso Alegre 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Madureira 2 - 3 Win

Água Santa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Madureira 4 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Home Pouso Alegre 2 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Portuguesa 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Portuguesa RJ 2 - 2 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Portuguesa RJ 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Portuguesa 0 - 1 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Água Santa 9 5 2 2 16 7 +9 17
80 América RJ 9 2 3 4 10 21 -11 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that both América RJ and Água Santa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Água Santa to win
This prediction indicates that Água Santa has a 50.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.81 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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